Line Reversal In Sports Betting
Line reversal happens a lot and is growing increasingly more complicated. Owing to the new tools and technologies that help bettors and bookmakers alike.
And one of the most important ways of tracking and placing bets today is the trends in line reversals.
Although there are multiple apps and tools available today, the first step is to understand how they work and what they entail.
Today, we’ll take you through an insightful breakdown of what this term means, how it affects betting practices, and what you can do to leverage it and learn all about line reversals and sports betting software online.
What are Line Reversals?
To put it in the simplest of terms, a line reversal happens when the betting line moves away (usually the opposite direction) from the team or side that has the higher number of bets.
From a bettor’s perspective, one has to track the direction and pattern of this line movement closely.
Normally, the aim is that you want to be able to recognize it when the bookmaker moves the line away from what basic logic suggests.
If identified correctly, a bettor can take advantage of this situation and place bets wisely for a profitable win.
For that, of course, you’ll need the right tool to track all the line reversals that happen. The patterns can get confusing and you can end up misplacing your bets.
So, getting a better grasp of why they happen and what tools you need to read them is a vital step to get right.
What causes Line Reversals?
To understand why line reversals take place, we’ll have to touch on why line movements exist in the first place.
Basic Line Movement in Betting
If we don’t look at the specific details in betting trends, it would be safe to assume that bookmakers usually want even amounts of bets for either side of the match/game.
That way, they’ll still be able to expect profits without worrying too much about which side has the better odds. So, there’s a minimum amount of profit, or ‘juice’ as it’s known, that’s almost guaranteed for the sportsbook irrespective of the game’s outcome.
However, as any decent sports fan or bookmaker will tell you, expecting even odds for both sides in a sport don’t always happen. Instead, there’s a clear favorite in most matches. That may mean that the betting trends will easily skew towards a specific team for a large number of casual betters.
So, fast bookmakers will use specific practices that make the betting patterns more equitable even if not fully even on both sides.
They’ll use everything from basic supply-demand principles to advanced sports analytics in this regard. Basically, they’re trying to enhance the demand for the betting volume (supply) on the lesser side of the line, when moving the line, bookmakers are really trying to make the other side slightly more attractive for more betters. The effect is that they get a higher volume of betting and, in extension, more profits.
There are even instances where the betting volume can exceed the expectations of the bookmakers. In such cases, oddmakers may resort to bringing down the demand by moving the line the other way.
More Details on Line Movement
The line movement practices described above are fairly basic and understandable by most betters. But in the real world of sports-betting, the trends aren’t always so simple. With more intense betting situations, you don’t get an even distribution of bets.
There is usually a more subtle but crucial difference between your average betters and specialized betters. The industry jargon for identifying these two types of betters is – squares and sharps.
The squares are ordinary betters who don’t enjoy the same expertise as bookmakers and sharps. On the other hand, sharps are those betters who have specialized knowledge about the particular sport along with a host of associated information.
These are pro-betters who bet for a living. And in a lot of cases, bookmakers can rely a lot on the betting patterns of these sharps before they move the line.
So, regardless of where the betting volume is concentrated, bookmakers will usually use the betting patterns of the sharps as they adjust the line.
Line reversals are one of these more complex line movements when bookmakers adjust the line contrary to what common sense may suggest.
How Line Reversals take place
So, line reversal is the movement that happens when bookmakers don’t make the obvious choice of moving the line towards getting more bets for the side with less volume. Instead, they adjust the line towards the opposite direction.
Let’s take two imaginary sports teams as an example. And let’s suppose that Team A is getting the lion’s share of the betting volume. Basic line movement practices would suggest that bookmakers move the line towards Team A, so that Team B appears more attractive to bettors.
The basic idea here is to level out the bets in a more balanced manner so that bookmakers have guaranteed earnings regardless of whether Team A or Team B wins.
However, if the bookmakers adjust the line in the opposite direction, they may not be too concerned about the outcome of the match.
They may have considered the bets placed by sharps, used their own data, and consulted advanced analytics to believe that Team B will still win regardless of the odds.
In this instance, moving the line against conventional wisdom makes sense for them. And this is essentially how line reversals take place.
How to use Line Reversals in Different Major Sports
NFL Schedules often generate a large volume of betting patterns today. And the Super Bowl is arguably the single biggest sporting event. So, the utter volume of bets and the number of betters make the whole league an incredibly exciting sport to bet on.
When it comes to the NFL, matches that end on a draw are rare and unlikely. So, having clear odds on a particular team is more common. This also means that you can expect unique line movements and clever line reversals from bookmakers.
In MLB, the line-up and composition of the team can easily sway betting patterns in many cases. For instance, the inclusion or exclusion of a specific starting pitcher can drastically change the odds for regular betters. So, even the line movement will follow the patterns created by these swaying odds and bets.
The average NBA game can frequently average at least 100 points or more. So, bookmakers who want to set handicaps on teams with different odds usually have a touch task ahead of them.
Also, if a star player has a good quarter, the direction of the game can change in less than 10 minutes. This makes predictions and bets a tricky practice in the NBA. And this cautiousness is reflected in the way bookmakers make line reversals when it comes to big NBA games.
With all these major leagues offering different betting patterns, tracking and understanding line reversals also becomes a challenging pursuit. Fortunately, the right approach and the appropriate tool can give you the upper hand even ordinary betters are losing out.
How to track and use Reverse Line Movement for you advantage
Unless you’re a professional better with decades of experience, your best chances of reading line movements and reversals is through a reliable analytics tool.
Also, then Line Reversal 2.0 by ***** is a marked upgrade from previous versions and other competing tools in the market.
Here are a few reasons why this Line Reversal tool is superior from the rest.
- The LR 2.0 excels at live updates on charts and odds. The readings are available in real-time so you can track all movements any time.
- The Auto-Update feature ensures that this real-time info reflects instant information without you having to manually refresh or update.
- The odds are also more reliable because there are no middle-players in between. You get prized betting odds directly from the bookies.
- It comes with a clear system that’s free from hidden costs. In fact, if you get a Zcode VIP membership, the whole thing is free for you.
- The program allows you to easily switch between games/leagues with a single click. So, there are no navigation hassles you see in other similar programs.
- The odds come displayed in a regional-specific format. So, regardless of whether you’re in the US or the EU, you’ll feel at home with this tool.
- A transparent and clear revelation of where the odds are (Eg. The favorite, the underdog, etc.).
- Everything from Ticket information to Public Percentages are available via a single click (‘Show All’ button).
With a program like LR 2.0 on your side, you get live and in-game updates on line reversals that may otherwise go unnoticed. Also, you have full access to pre-game line moves that can potentially give you a head start on reading line reversals too.
Understanding and tracking line reversals correctly can help you beat the bookmakers and set up for bigger wins in the long run.
However, the information and patterns can often be hard to keep track of. Instead of risking a wrong interpretation of line movements, relying on a tool like LR2.0 will give you access to expert analysis and reliable odds.
This way, you can focus on the actual betting actions and still have fun doing it!