Miami Marlins versus San Diego Padres (May 31)
The Miami Marlins, bringing up the rear in the NL East, head to San Diego this weekend to take on the Padres, who are second in the NL West.
Caleb Smith is scheduled to start on the mound for the Marlins and Joey Lucchesi will pitch for the Padres.
The Marlins have had a difficult time scoring runs this season, hitting only .231 with 39 home runs and a paltry 3.1 runs per game.
Brian Anderson leads the team in RBI with 21 and Neil Walker has the top batting average at .299.
The main power source is Jorge Alfaro, who has eight home runs, while Curtis Granderson has added six.
The Padres have hit for power, having belted 81 home runs. However, they are batting only .233 and averaging just 3.9 runs per game.
Franmil Reyes leads the team in home runs with 15, while Hunter Renfroe has 14 nd Wil Myers has added 10.
Eric Hosmer leads the Padres with 33 RBI and Manny Machado has chipped in with nine home runs and 27 RBI.
On the mound, Caleb Smith has been very good, posting a 3-2 record and a 3.05 ERA. He’s struck out 72 and allowed only 38 hits in 56 innings.
The way to get to Smith is through the long ball, he’s allowed eight home runs this season.
Closer Sergio Romo has 11 saves but a pedestrian 4.50 ERA.
Frequently used relievers Tyler Kinley, Nick Anderson and Tayron Guerrero have combined for an ERA of 4.57 in 67 innings.
As a team, the Marlins are giving up 4.7 runs per game.
Looking at the Padres pitching, Joey Lucchesi has a 3-3 record with a 4.25 ERA.
He’s allowed seven home runs in 55 innings, while striking out 57.
Closer Kibry Yates has been oustanding, recording 21 saves with an ERA just above one and 44 strikeouts in 25 innings.
Other most called on relievers, Craig Stammen, Adam Warren and Robbie Erlin have posted a combined ERA of 4.43 in 69 innings.
All told, the Padres are allowing an average of 4.3 runs per game.
With neither team averaging at least four runs per game, this is a game that will likely go under.
The Padres could tally some runs should they get some long balls off of Smith, however he has been difficult to hit all season.
The Marlins can’t seem to muster an offense no matter who they are facing.
The Padres have a much superior team and will win this game.
Let’s go for an overall low score of 4-2 , which mean the “under” is a safe bet.