New York Mets versus Chicago White Sox (July 31)
In this interleague match up, the NL East’s fourth-place Mets travel to Chicago to face the AL Central’s third-place White Sox. Jacob deGrom is scheduled to start on the mound for the Mets and Lucas Giolito is set to pitch for the White Sox.
Offensively, the Mets clearly rely heavily on the power of Pete Alonso, leading the team with 34 home runs and 77 RBI. Michael Conforto has been a solid second power source with 20 home and Jeff McNeil paces the team with a .336 batting average.
As a unit, eight players have at least ten home runs for a team total of 151 and 4.7 runs per game.
The White Sox have been below average offensively, with 117 home runs and 4.2 runs per game, below the league average.
Jose Abreu is the primary threat with 22 home runs and 72 RBI. Yoan Moncada has been solid with a .301 average and 20 home runs, while Tim Anderson is tops in batting average at .317.
Eloy Jimenez has also added decent power, leaving the park 17 times this season.
On the mound, Jacob deGrom is having another stellar season, despite a 6-7 record. He’s struck out 163 in 129 innings, while allowing a relatively modest 14 home runs and an ERA of 2.86.
He’s allowed only a single earned run over his last 19 innings. The bullpen has been shaky, at best. Seth Lugo has pitched an ERA of 2.77 in 52 innings.
However, the trio of Robert Gsellman, Edwin Diaz and Jeurys Familia have a combined ERA of 5.54 in 128 1/3 innings.
As a team, the Mets are allowing nearly five runs per game.
For the White Sox, Lucas Giolito has been the top starter and only with an ERA under five. He’s 11-5 with a 3.52 ERA, striking out 141 and allowing only 90 hits in 117 2/3 innings. Closer Alex Colome has 21 saves and an ERA of 2.27 in 39 2/3 innings.
However, he has been mentioned in trade rumors. Alex Bummer has posted an ERA under two, but Jace Fry and Josh Osach have a combined ERA of 4.78 in 75 1/3 innings.
As a team, the White Sox are giving up over five runs per game.
Neither team is excellent offensively and both starting pitchers have been quite good. If the teams get somehow get to the starters, there is a chance at a high scoring game against mediocre bullpens. Don’t expect that to happen.
The Mets are the better team and should win the game, despite playing on the road. Take the “under” and look for a Mets win by a 4-3 margin.