Philadelphia Phillies versus Kansas City Royals (May 10)
Through May 7, the Philadelphia Phillies lead in the NL East with a 20-15 record, while the Royals were struggling in the basement of the AL Central at 13-24.
Jake Arrieta is scheduled to pitch for the Phillies and Homer Bailey will be taking the ball for the Royals.
The Phillies have hit 43 home runs, batting .250 and averaging 5.2 runs per game.
Rhys Hoskins leads the team in both home runs (11) and RBI (32).
Maikel Franco and Bryce Harper have each added seven long balls to the attack.
Andew McCutchen has been solid in the lead off spot with five home runs and Jean Segura leads the Phillies in hitting at .320, setting the table for the RBI men in the middle of the order.
The Royals have nearly identical offensive numbers, hitting .247 with 45 home runs and averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Adalberto Mondesi leads the team in RBI with 33, while Hunter Dozier has been the best overall hitter at .342 with nine home runs and 21 RBI.
Jorge Soler has also hit nine home runs, adding to a potent one-two punch. Whit Merrifield and Alex Gordon have each added six home runs to a deep offensive unit.
On the mound, Arrieta has been quite solid with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 3.40. He’s allowed five home runs and has struck out 37 in 45 innings.
The bull pen has been shaky, but Hector Neris and Adam Morgan have done a good job.
They have allowed a combined six earned runs in 29 2/3 innings.
As a team, the Phillies have allowed 4.5 runs per game.
Bailey has been much more inconsistent that Arrieta, pitching to a 5.25 ERA in 36 innings. He’s allowed four home runs, 34 hits and 13 walks.
The relief crew has done a good job.
The combination of Ian Kennedy, Scott Barlos, Glenn Sparkman and Jake Diekman have allowed 20 earned runs in 64 innings.
The Royals have given up an average of 4.9 runs per game.
The Phillies are just 6-8 on the road and the Royals are 8-11 at home.
If looking at just an average output, the Phillies would have a slight edge, in the neighborhood of a 5-4 or 6-5 score.
However, the Phillies have the capability of putting up big numbers and with Bailey struggling, this is likely going to be the case.
Look for the Phillies to put up 7 and the Royals 4 or 5.
This would put the game over the league average for total runs scored. And for all those reasons Im taking the OVER.