Philadelphia Phillies versus San Diego Padres (June 3)
The Philadelphia Phillies head to San Diego with a narrow lead in the NL East after losing their last four game.
THe Padres are third in the NL West, ten game behind the Dodgers.
Aaron Nola is scheduled to start on the mound for the Phillies and Eric Lauer is set to start for the Padres.
Offensively, the Phillies are hitting only .243, but average a solid 4.9 runs per game.
Rhys Hoskins leads the team in home with with 13, to go along with 43 RBI.
After a bad stretch, Bryce Harper leads the Phillies in RBI with 43 and is second in home runs with 11.
Andrew McCutchen has 10 home runs from the leadoff spot, while Jean Segura hovers around the .300 mark.
JT Realmuto and Maikel Franco add additional power with eight home runs each.
The Padres live and die by the long ball, having hit 85 home runs this season, but have only a .232 average and score under four runs per game.
Franmil Reyes is tops on the team with 16 home runs, while Hunter Renfroe (15 home runs) and Wil Myers (10 home runs) add a potent power trio.
Eric Hosmer leads the Padres in RBI with 34 and he and Manny Machado have each hit nine home runs.
On the mound, Aaron Nola has been excellent over his last six starts, lowering his ERA from 6.84 to 4.18 during that stretch.
He’s struck out 74 in 64 2/3 innings, but can get in trouble with the long ball, allowing ten home runs.
Closer Hector Neris has a 2.25 in 24 innings, but the combination of Juan Nicasio, Seranthony Dominguez and Jose Alvarez have combined to a 4.29 ERA in 71 1/3 innings.
As a team, the Phillies have allowed and average of 4.5 runs per game.
For the Padres, Eric Lauer is 4-4 with a 4.45 ERA.
He’s given up the occasional long ball, allowing eight home runs in 58 2/3 innings. The back end of the bullpen has been exceptional.
Craig Stammen has a 1.47 ERA in 30 2/3 innings and closer Kirby Yates has an ERA just above one and 45 strikeouts in 26 innings.
However, the two other most frequently used relievers on the team , Robbie Erlin and Adam Warren have an ERA of 5.22 in 50 innings.
As a team, the Padres are giving up 4.3 runs per game.
With Nola now pitching near his form of last season, the only way the Padres reach their average run production is if Nola is off, giving up the long ball.
The Phillies should have an edge against Lauer, but likely wont put up a huge run total.
This has all the makings of an “under” game. Look for the Phillies to end their losing skid with around a 4-2 score.