Pittsburgh Pirates versus Milwaukee Brewers (June 7)
The Pittsburgh Pirates head to Milwaukee for a weekend series against the Brewers.
In this NL Central match-up, the Pirates are fourth in the division and the Brewers are on top.
Rookie Davis is scheduled to pitch for the Pirates and Brandon Woodruff is set to take the mound for the Brewers.
Offensively, the Pirates rely very heavily on the big bat of Josh Bell.
He leads the team in hitting at .332 with 18 home runs and 53 RBI.
There is a significant decline in production after him.
Collin Moran is second in RBI with 29 and Starling Marte is second in home runs with seven.
As a team, the Pirates have hit 58 home runs for an average of 4.2 runs per game.
The Brewers have a tremendous amount of team power, headed by Christian Yelich and his 22 home runs and 49 RBI.
Mike Moustakas provides an excellent second power source with 16 home runs and 37 RBI.
Yasmani Grandal has added 12 home runs to the mix, while reliable veteran Ryan Braun has left the park nine times.
As a team, the Brewers have belted 104 home runs and average five runs per game.
Rookie Davis has made only four appearances this season, all in relief. He’s 0-0 with a 5.87 ERA in 7 2/3 innings.
He’s made six starts in 11 MLB appearances with an ERA of 7.96, allowing nine home runs in 31 2/3 innings.
The bullpen trio of Felipe Vazquez, Francisco Liriano and Kyle Crick have combined to a very good 2.33 ERA over 73 1/3 innings.
Frequently used Richard Rodriguez, on the other hand, has been hurt by the long ball….
allowing nine in 24 1/3 innings, contributing to 5.92 ERA.
As a team the Pirates have allowed 5.5 runs per game.
Brandon Woodruff comes in with a 7-1 record and 3.82 ERA. A power pitcher, Woodruff has struck out 80 in 68 1/3 innings and has surrendered only seven home runs.
Josh Hader has been excellent in the closer role, striking out 57 in 29 1/3 innings.
His ERA of 2.45 is mainly due to allowing six home runs.
Frequently used relievers Junior Guerra, Matt Albers and Adrian Houser have a combined 3.35 ERA over 75 1/3 innings.
As a unit, the Brewers have allowed five runs per game.
The issues Davis has had keeping the ball in the park could come back to haunt him in this one.
It’s also unknown how long Davis will stay in the game, having been used strictly as a reliever this season.
It could be a game where the Pirates use many relievers. The Pirates should have a difficult time getting on the board against Woodruff.
Milwaukee is 19-13 at home, but the Pirates are very good on the road, posting an 17-13 mark.
Pittsburgh doesn’t have the firepower that the Brewers have and will be hard-pressed to hit their average offensive output.
Look for the Brewers to score around 5 or 6 and the Pirates 2 or 3.
This would lead to a slightly below average scoring game, given the NL average is just under 9 runs combined per game.
Go with the “under” and the Brewers to win.