San Diego Padres versus Los Angeles Dodgers (June 5)
The Padres head to Los Angeles to face the first-place Dodgers in this NL West showdown.
Eric Lauer is scheduled to pitch for the Padres and Clayton Kershaw is set to take the mound for the Dodgers.
Offensive, the Padres had been proficient at hitting the long-ball, having belted 133 home runs this season.
Overall, they are batting .244 with an average of 4.5 runs scored per game.
Franmil Reyes and Hunter Renfroe are pacing the team with 25 home runs, while Manny Machado completes a power trio with 20 home runs and 57 RBI.
Eric Hosmer leads the team in RBI with 60 and has added 13 home runs.
The Dodgers are among the best offensive teams in the league, batting .266 with 142 home runs and 5.3 runs scored per game.
Their top contributor has been Cody Bellinger, who has 29 home runs and 70 RBI.
Max Muncy and Joc Pederson are the other two members on the team with at least 20 home runs.
Enrique Hernandez has quietly chipped in 14 home runs and 43 RBI.
On the mound, Lauer has been inconsistent, posting a 5-7 mark with a 4.22 ERA. Not a big strikeout pitcher, he’s fanned 66 and has been hurt by the long ball, allowing nine home runs.
The Padres are outstanding at the back end of the bullpen, as closer Kirby Yates has struck out 56 and allowed only five earned runs in 35 1/3 innings.
However, frequently used Adam Warren, Robbie Erlin and Trey Wingenter have combined ERA of 4.66 ERA in 96 1/3 innings.
As a team, the Padres have allowed five runs per game.
Kershaw hasn’t been as dominated as past seasons, but still has a 7-2 record and a solid ERA of 3.23.
His strikeout-to-walk ratio of 82-to-15 is excellent…
but has been touched some by the home run ball, allowing 13 this season.
The Dodgers’ bullpen has been good, but not oustanding. Kenley Jansen and Pedro Baez have a combined 2.88 ERA in 75 innings.
However, Yimi Garcia and Dylan Floro have been less than stellar, posting a mediocre 4.13 ERA.
As a team, the Dodgers are allowing only 3.9 runs per game.
On paper, this may appear to be a game to trend “under”.
However both teams hit the long ball and both scheduled starters have been a bit prone to giving up the home run.
The Dodgers are clearly the more superior team and playing at home will be huge favorites.
The gut feeling is that more balls than usual will leave the park, putting the game in the “over” category.
The Dodgers will prevail by a 6-5 score.