August 11: San Diego Padres versus Los Angeles Dodgers
In this NL West battle, the Padres come in 3rd in the division with a record of 11-7. They are coming off a 2-1 win against the Dodgers, who are 11-6, 2nd in the division. Garrett Richards is scheduled to pitch for the Padres, and Ross Stripling is set to take the mound for the Dodgers. That Dodgers are the favorites at –180 compared to +156 for the Padres with an over/under of 8 ½.
Offensively for the Padres, they are led by the hot bat of Fernando Tatis Jr, who already has 8 home runs and 18 RBI. Will Myers has been a great second power threat with 5 home runs and 12 RBI, while Manny Machado and Tren Grisham each have gone deep 4 times. As a team, the Padres are batting .236 with 30 home runs and 5.2 runs scored per game.
The Dodgers have a more balanced attack led by Mookie Betts with a .279 average, 4 home runs and 10 RBI. A.J. Pollock and Max Muncy are tied with Betts for the team lead in home runs, while Joc Pederson, Corey Seager, and Edwin Rios each have 3 home runs. The Dodgers are batting .229 as a team with 29 home runs and also averaging 5.2 runs per game.
Richards has a 4.60 ERA with 16 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched this season. Out of the Padres’ bullpen, Drew Pomeranz has been nearly unhittable at the back end, allowing only a hit, with 10 strikeouts in 7 1/3 innings. Craig Stammen and Matt Strahm have been solid, and the Padres as a team have an ERA of 4.11.
The Dodgers have a decided advantage on the mound. Stripling comes in at 3-0 with 16 strikeouts in 18 innings. The bullpen has been fantastic and very difficult to score against. Closer Kenley Jansen has a 1.29 ERA and 4 saves. Pedro Baez and Caleb Ferguson each have an ERA just above one, while Blake Treinen hasn’t allowed a run in 8 appearances. As a team the Dodgers have an ERA of 2.50
Defensively, the Padres have committed 11 errors and have a fielding percentage of just .982, while the Dodgers have been fantastic, committing only 4 errors with a .994 fielding percentage. All told, this looks like a great opportunity for the Dodgers to even this series and put a little cushion between them and the Padres. Go with the “under” and for the Dodgers to win the game.