San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks -28/2/20- MLB Over/Under Picks, Prediction.

MLB August 28: San Francisco Giants versus Arizona Diamondbacks

In this NL West matchup, the 4th place Giants enter at 15-18 and have lost their last two. The Diamondbacks have dropped their last eight and are last in the division at 13-19.  Tyler Anderson is set to start on the mound for San Francisco, while Zac Gallen is scheduled to take the hill for Arizona. The Diamondbacks are the favorites at –175 to +157 with an over/under of 9.

Austin Slater and Donovan Solano are both hitting over .340 and set the table for the meat of the order. Mike Yastrzemski and Wilmer Flores are tied for the team lead in home runs with seven, while Yastrzemski leads the club in RBI with 23. Brandon Belt (5 home runs, 14 RBI, .315 average), and Evan Longoria (15 RBI, .284 average) add to an offense that has 41 home runs and averages 4.8 runs per game.

The Diamondbacks are led by four .300-plus hitters in Katel Marte (.340), Startling Marte (.318), Christian Walker (.310), and David Peralta (.302). Kole Calhoun leads the team in home runs with seven and Peralta tops the club in RBI with 22.  Despite the four .300-plus hitters, Arizona has struggled to a .243 average with only 26 home runs and 4.3 runs per game.

On the mound, Tyler Anderson has done a very good job for the Giants, posting a 1-1 record with a 3.45 ERA. He’s struck out 30 and allowed only one home run in 31 innings. The problem with the Giants has been their bullpen.  Closer Trevor Gott has four saves but an ERA of 12.46. Caleb Barager, Wandy Peralta, and Tyler Rogers have logged the most innings out of the pen, but have a combined ERA of 6.33. As a team the Giants have an ERA of 5.03. To make matters worse, the team has committed 27 errors with a fielding percentage of .976.

Zac Gallen has been stellar for the Diamondbacks. In 36 innings, he’s struck out 42 and has an ERA of 2.25. Although Arizona has a team ERA of 5.25, the bullpen has been solid. Taylor Clark and Stefan Crichton have each pitched to an ERA under 3. Taylor Widener has a 3.31 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 16 1/3 innings and closer Archie Bradley has saved six with an ERA of 3.60.

Neither team puts up a great amount of offense with any regularity. Both starting pitchers should take their teams at least into the middle innings with little on the board. The difference will be in the bullpen. Arizona will take advantage of the Giant’s deficiencies in that area. Add in a defensive miscue or two by the Giants and the Diamondbacks will come away with the win.  The low scoring nature of the teams leans me to pick the “under” as well.