St. Louis Cardinals versus Philadelphia Phillies (May 29)
The St. Louis Cardinals head to Philadelphia with a .500 record, third in the NL Central.
The Phillies are 31-22, first in the NL East. Genesis Cabrera, who was just called up from AAA, will get the start on the mound of the Cardinals.
Aaron Nola is scheduled to pitch for the Phillies.
Offensively for the Cardinals, they are averaging five runs per game on 64 home runs and a .253 batting average.
Marcell Ozuna heads the attack with 14 home runs and 45 RBI. Paul Goldschmidt has atted 10 home runs with 25 RBI.
Paul DeJong has been perhaps the most consistent hitter, adding eight home runs and 26 RBI.
Matt Carpenter has struggled to a batting average around .220 with seven home runs and 17 RBI.
The Phillies are alwos averaging five runs per game with 61 home runs, but only a .245 batting average.
They draw a lot of walks and make pitchers work. Rhys Hoskins leads in both home runs (41) and RBI (34).
Despite striking out at an alarming rate and hitting only .227, Bryce Harper has 14 doubles, a respectable nine home runs and 34 RBI. Look for him to get hot sooner than later.
J.T. Realmuto and Andrew McCutchen have each chipped in eight home runs, while Jean Segura has been the best overall hitter, setting the table for the big bombers.
On the mound, Cabrera struggled at AAA to a 2-3 record and 6.35 ERA, walking 19 and allowing 11 home runs in 39 2/3 innings.
The bullpen of the Cardinals has been generally solid. John Gant and John Brebbia have combined to an ERA of 1.43 in 56 2/3 innings.
However, the next two most used relievers on the team, Dominic Leone and Geovanny Gallegos, have a combined 6.16 ERA in 42 1/3 innings.
As a team, the Cardinals are giving up 4.6 runs per game.
Aaron Nola is 5-0 with a relatively high 4.53 ERA.
He’s been much better over his last several starts after a bad start and has 66 strikeouts in 57 2/3 innings.
Hector Neris has done a good job at the back end of the bullpen, saving nine with an ERA of 1.98.
Juan Nicasio, Seranthony Dominguez and Jose Alvarez have been mediocre, combining for an ERA of 4.24. All told, the Phillies have allowed 4.6 runs per game.
The teams are evenly matched, by the numbers.
Generally a pitcher that a team hasn’t faced has the edge.
This could be the case for Cabrera first time through the lineup.
However, allowing the long ball in a hitters park against a team with power, Cabrera could get into trouble.
Nola has been much more effective lately, so I see a Phillies win.
After a slow start, the Phillies will pile on the runs, in the neighborhood of 6 or 7 and hold the Cardinals around 4.
Making the over the way to go here.