Super Bowl LIV is finally here, and we could hardly have asked for a more intriguing matchup.
Stat-stuffing Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (14-4) fought their way through the AFC, as well-rounded San Francisco 49ers (15-3) emerged from the NFC to meet in what promises to be a highly competitive Super Bowl affair.
Bookmakers have the Over/Under line set at 54.5 points for Super Bowl LIV.
After last year’s Super Bowl only saw one touchdown and 16 total points scored, many bettors are thinking twice before putting significant money down on the Over this year.
Here is exactly why we are fading the under bettors, and are instead taking the OVER in Super Bowl LIV.
KC knows how to do one thing… Score
Kansas City’s strength is clearly their offense, as this squad has looked like a team who is comfortable in relying on their explosively productive offensive to churn out enough points for victories regardless of the defensive performance.
The Chiefs have given up 20+ points in 10 games this season, including each of their last three matchups, which of course were all postseason victories over respectable opponents.
In those wins, Kansas City scored a total of 117 points, averaging 39.0 points per game in the playoffs.
Expect strengths to shine
Super Bowl LIV matches up the NFL’s #2 and #3 scoring offenses against each other.
The 49ers put up an average of 30.17 points per game, while the Chiefs are clocked at 29.83 points scored per game.
In addition, both teams are known to gash defenses efficiently, with the 49ers and Chiefs finding themselves inside the top 4 offenses in yards per play.
Simply put, these teams know how to move the ball and find paydirt efficiently and with little resistance. Expect both offenses to be firing come Super Bowl Sunday.
Both defenses vulnerable
As we previously mentioned, this Kansas City team is not known for defense, but what about San Francisco?
The 49ers defense has performed well this season, boasting the 5th best scoring defense (18.89 points conceded per game) and the 2nd best pass defense in the league (174.28 pass yards conceded per game).
Despite these numbers, the 49ers have shown vulnerabilities in the air game at times this season.
These vulnerabilities include giving up 349 yards and five touchdowns to Drew Brees and the Saints in Week 15 and allowing the Rams to put up 31 points and 323 passing yards in Week 17.
Do not be surprised if Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs are able to replicate these big number performances against the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV.