Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros – 6/16/19- MLB Over Under Picks.

In this match-up, the Toronto Blue Jays (4th AL East) take on the Houston Astros (1st AL West).

Trent Thornton is scheduled to start on the mound for the Blue Jays and Brad Peacock is set to pitch for the Astros.

Offensively, the Blue Jays have had numerous struggles, hitting just .221 as a team with 83 home runs and scoring a tad under four runs per game.

Justin Smoak and Randal Grichuk are tied with the team lead in home runs with 12. 

Rowdy Tellez has 10 home runs and is second in RBI with 29 behind Smoak’s 34.

Freddy Galvis has added some pop at the shortstop position with nine home runs.

The Astros have been without Jose Altuve since May 10 and leading power threat George Springer.

The two have a combined 26 home runs and 69 RBI.

However, Alex Bregman has picked up the slack, leading the Astros with 19 home runs.

Carlos Correa has added 11 home runs and Michael Brantley has hit 10 to go along with a .313 average.

As a team the Astros have hit 114 home runs and averaged 5.3 runs per game.

As the Blue Jays have had offensive issues, their pitching hasn’t been stellar either.

Trent Thornton enters with a 1-5 record and a 4.78 ERA.

He’s struck out 73 over 69 2/3 innings, but has given up 11 home runs, contributing to the high ERA.

Closer Ken Giles has been excellent with 42 strikeouts and an ERA just over one, in 25 innings.

However, they’ve had a hard time getting him the ball with a lead.

The most frequently used relievers, Sam Gaviglio and Thomas Pannone, have combined to an EAR of 5.06 ERA in 80 innings.

As a team, the Blue Jays are allowing five runs per game.

Brad Peacock has been solid for the Astros, posting a 6-3 record with an ERA of 3.42.

He’s struck out 71 in as many innings, while issuing a relatively modest seven home runs.

Ryan Pressly has been the most effective of a very good relief group, allowing just three earned runs in 31 1/3 innings.

Josh Jones has struck out 58 in 36 1/3 innings, while Roberto Osuna and Hector Rondon have  a combined 2.08 ERA in 60 2/3 innings.

The Astros has allowed only 3.7 runs per game.

This has the makings of a high scoring game…

Only because of the Astros offense versus the Blue Jays pitching.

Look for Houston to increase upon their 114 home run total against a starter who allows nearly 1.5 home runs per nine innings.

Toronto could reach their scoring average of the season, but that will fall at least three or four runs short of a win.

Let’s call it, 8-3 or 8-4 in favor of Houston and bet the “over”.


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