Minnesota Vikings versus New York Giants
The Vikings enter at 2-2 and look to bounce back from a 16-6 loss at Chicago.
The Giants are riding a two-game winning streak and are also 2-2.
Minnesota is a 5 ½ point favorite with an over/under of 44 ½.
Minnesota is averaging 21 points versus a Giants defense that is allowing 24 per game.
On the flip side the Giants are averaging just under 22 against the Vikings 6th rated defense allowing only 15.8 per game.
The Vikings have averaged just 169 yards per game through the air, but should have an easier time against a Giants defense allowing 280 yards passing per game.
New York will likely struggle on the ground and will have to rely on the passing game, however the Vikings are also solid against the pass, surrendering only 219 yards in the air per contest.
Minnesota typically plays in low scoring, defensive battles and this should be the same.
Pick the under in this one in a game that likely will go under 40.
New England Patriots versus Washington Redskins
The Patriots survived against the Bills last week to move to 4-0 on the season, while the Redskins were wiped out by the Giants to drop to 0-4.
If the Dolphins are the worst team in the NFL through week four, the Redskins are second worst.
They are 29th in scoring at 16.5 per game and 31st in points allowed, at 29.5 per game.
On the other hand, the Patriots are 5th in scoring at 30.8 per game and 1st in fewest points allowed, giving up a mere 6.8 points per game.
New England is a 15 ½ point favorite with an over/under of 43.
This game is so decidedly lopsided.
The Patriots are allowing only 243 yards per game and a slim 61 on the ground.
Washington has averaged only 50 on the ground and will have to throw the ball often in this one.
The problem is that the Patriots pass defense is also among the best in the NFL.
Although New England’s run game is relatively mediocre, they can control the ball any way they want in this game, given the Redskins are allowing 148 yards on the ground.
Washington will probably score most of their points late when the game is well in hand.
The Patriots will again put up over 30 and this game will go over the line of 43 points.
Green Bay Packers versus Dallas Cowboys
The Packers enter coming off a 34-27 loss to the Eagles at home, while the Cowboys scored just 10 in their loss to the Saints.
The Cowboys are a 3 ½ point home favorite with an over/under of 46 ½.
Green Bay is 17th in scoring at 21.3 per game and 7th in fewest points allowed at 17.3 per contest.
Dallas has given up just 14 per game, good for 3rd in the NFL and have scored 26.8, ranked 8th in the league.
Both teams have been good through the air, combining for 532 yards per game.
The Packers have been much better defensively against the pass, but the Cowboys have a decided advantage run defense versus Green Bay’s running attack and rush offense versus a porous Green Bay run defense.
The Dallas offense is likely not as bad as it was against the Saints, but not as proficient against the poor competition they faced the first few weeks of the season.
All signs are pointing towards a lower scoring game.